25% votes counted: How close are the Gujarat 2022 Assembly election results?
Gujarat elections: BJP supporters wave party flags during Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s election campaign roadshow for the Gujarat Assembly elections, in Ahmedabad, Friday, Dec.2, 2022.
| Photo Credit: –
The 2017 Gujarat election was a close affair with the winner in more than 30 seats getting decided by a win margin of less than 2.5% votes. The win margin is the difference in votes between the winner/leader and the second-best party in a seat. Are the 2022 polls also turning out to be similar? Early trends, with just 25% of the votes being counted, show that that is not the case this year. Right now, the BJP is leading/winning in 56 seats by a margin of >30%. Last time the BJP had managed to do so only in 18 seats.
Table 1 shows the number of seats led/won by parties in 2022 across various vote share ranges. The change in the number of such seats from 2017 is also listed. For instance, the BJP is leading/won in 148 seats, as of now. Of them, the win/lead margin is less than 10% in 25 seats, between 10-20% in 35 seats, between 20-30% in 32 seats and over 30% in 56 seats. Overall, in 2022, in 41 out of 182 seats, the win/lead margin is less than 10% votes. In 2017, 46 more seats were won with a margin of less than 10% votes. A sharp increase in the number of seats led/won by >30% votes and a decline in the number of seats led/won by <10% votes shows that this is not a close election.
Charts appear incomplete. Click to remove AMP mode
Table 2 takes a closer look at the number of seats led/won with relatively fewer votes. Win/lead margins of less than 2.5% show that the race came down to a handful of votes. Overall, in 2022, in 10 seats the win/lead margin was <2.5% votes. In 2017, 22 more seats were won with a similar margin. This figure also shows that this is not a close election.
Table 3 shows the number of seats led/won by parties in 2022 across various vote margins (in absolute terms). For example, in 2022, the BJP led/won in 5 seats with a margin of <500 votes, it led/won in 65 seats with a margin of >10,000 votes. Overall, only in 9 seats the win/lead margin was <500 votes.
The story will be updated when 50% of the votes are counted. The observations are based on early trends with just 25% of the votes counted.
For more news from the world of Bollywood, digital and television, stay tuned
- The Compact Mouse that's built for You: The Lenovo 150 Wireless Compact Mouse, designed with your convenience in mind. It’s easy to get more done when you don’t have to waste time untangling messy cables or searching the office for new batteries. Its compact size makes it the perfect companion no matter what the occasion. Slide it into your pocket, backpack or laptop bag, and you’re ready to go
- No more distractions: With a 2.4 GHz Nano USB receiver and up to 10 months battery life, your work will never be interrupted again
- Accuracy is everything: Seamlessly glide between tasks with in-built 1000 DPI optical sensor navigation. Act quickly and accurately with the intuitive scroll wheel and thoughtfully placed buttons
- 【110lb Capacity】110lb/50kg capacity digital luggage scale precisely weighs suitcases, bags and backpacks. The electronic scale has an automatic hold function, so you can know the weight of your luggage within a few seconds.
- 【With Blue Backlit】With blue backlit on the top of the light weight hanging scale, you can easily lift the luggage up and look down to read the accurate value, which takes you less strength.
- 【Easy to Use】The luggage weight scale with buckle webbing is easy to use. Just connect the attached strap to the device, clip the strap to the handle of the bag, and lift it up, it's that simple.
- Dimensions: The Size of the cable storage travel case: 7.5" x 4.3" x 2.2". Compact size and lightweight make it easy to carry and put into your backpack, handbags or laptop bag without taking much space. Suitable for family use and daily organization.
- Quality Material: This electronic organizer travel case made of high quality durable waterproof oxford and soft sponge inside to secure your gadgets in place and deliver a quick access whenever you want, a perfect case protects your electronics accessories.
- Double Layers Design: The electronics storage bag has 2 layers interior compartment with enough space to take in your cords, cables, USB drive, cellphone, charger, mouse, flash drive, and other accessories.
Source link
